The William R. Rhodes Center for International Economics and Finance
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Project Syndicate
Trump, Tariffs, and the Fate of the Dollar (written by Mark Blyth)
Donald Trump’s attempt to reindustrialize the US economy by eliminating trade deficits will undoubtedly cause pain and disruption on a massive scale. But it is important to remember that both major US political parties have abandoned free trade in pursuit of similar goals.
How bad would a recession be right now? (interview with Mark Blyth)
Mark Blyth discusses what will happen in the short and long term if the U.S. economy goes into recession due to the Trump administration's attempt to produce a "once-in-a-generation shift in how we run the global economy."
Trump’s On-and-Off-Again Tariffs (interview with Mark Blyth)
President Trump’s on-again, off-again tariff announcements sent stock markets plunging. On the Media interviews Mark Blyth to make sense of the ever-changing news about the economy.
Austerity Is Back – and More Dangerous Than Ever (written by Mark Blyth)
A decade and a half after the global financial crisis, austerity has returned. But this time it is not just an economically dangerous idea that promises to make a bad situation worse; in the hands of Elon Musk and Argentine President Javier Milei, it is also a political weapon and a redistributive tool.
Will the US working class pay the price for ‘America First’ policies? (Mark Blyth quoted)
Fighting inflation is quickly falling down the list of President Donald Trump’s priorities as he pursues his isolationist policies at a clip.
Trump’s America will be forced to grapple with a rising Brics (written by William R. Rhodes and John Lipsky)
Brics has become an alternative power base outside the reach of the US and its allies, and a rising counterweight to US influence globally
Donald Trump piles pressure on Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell to cut interest rates (Mark Blyth quoted)
US central bank widely expected to hold borrowing costs steady at meeting next week
Meeting Global Challenges Requires Financial Innovation (written by William R. Rhodes and John Lipsky)
The sums required to meet global challenges like mitigating climate change and strengthening financial-market stability far exceed available public funding. Attracting voluntary private investment, however, will require the development of a menu of innovative financial instruments.
How the Sino-American Rivalry Is Reshaping the World Order (written by William R. Rhodes and Stuart P.M. Mackintosh)
We are entering a period of deteriorating US-China relations, with each side backed by its own allies and operating in its own international forums. While the precise impact of the changing geopolitical balance remains unknown, it is clearly becoming an impediment to addressing humanity’s most pressing problems.
China must shield the rest of its economy from the property contagion (written by William R. Rhodes and Stuart P.M. Mackintosh)
Beijing needs to let unsalvageable developers fail and, crucially, avoid saddling banks with bad loans. Short-term pain is preferable to infecting finance and creating a deeper, longer economic downturn.
Greece must show robust data matters and stop persecuting Georgiou (written by Megan Greene)
The country should not forget the need for strong and independent institutions in its dash for growth.
Keeping At It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government (talk by William R. Rhodes)
William R. Rhodes gave at talk at The Korea Society on the release of the Korean translation of "Keeping At It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government" - a memoir written by the late Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker
The Global Order’s Triple Policy Challenge (written by William R. Rhodes and John Lipsky)
With sovereign debt at record levels and extreme weather events becoming more frequent and intense, policymakers must find a way to sustain economic growth, ensure financial stability, and mobilize the necessary resources to combat climate change. Achieving this requires nothing less than a new economic paradigm.
Xi and Putin Xi should use his sway over Putin to push him to the negotiating table with Ukraine (written by William R. Rhodes and Stuart P.M. Mackintosh)
Politically and economically, Xi’s China is superior to Putin’s Russia in an unequal alliance that has seen growing Russian dependence. If Xi can craft an exit from war in Europe after the current offensive, China’s geopolitical stock will rise further.
A new birding guide for central bankers (co-authored by Mark Blyth)
Professor of International Economics Mark Blyth co-authored an essay for the Financial Times on bird metaphors for central bankers.
The dollars are not fragile (written by Brendan Greeley)
The world thinks of treasuries as assets and no other country has been able to produce more sovereign debt than the US.
Too Big to Fail, But Not Too Big to Bail Out Other Banks (comments by Mark Blyth)
Mark Blyth comments for Bloomberg, “We may be in a world of financial dominance. I don’t know, but it sure smells that way.”
Mark Blyth discusses falling European bank shares on RTÉ's The Business podcast.
Who Is to Blame for the New Banking Crisis? (written by William R. Rhodes and Stuart P.M. Mackintosh)
In 2018, US lawmakers loosened banking regulations on the spurious grounds that smaller banks do not pose systemic risks to the stability of the financial system. Unfortunately, everyone will have to relearn the hard-won lessons of past banking crises.
Why wages fell and profits surged (interview with Mark Blyth)
In an interview with the EU Observer, Director of the Rhodes Center Mark Blyth discusses the European Union's economy.
Ukraine war: time for China to use its influence with Putin to create room for peace (written by William R. Rhodes and Stuart P.M. Mackintosh)
If China chooses to double down on an uncritical alliance with Russia and supply it with military material, it risks US and EU sanctions. The better option would be for China to use its leverage and closeness with Russia to broker an end to the war.
Bank of Japan needs the courage to change course (written by Megan Greene)
A shift in policy will be painful but the longer the delay in acting the worse it will be.
Crypto world divide exposed by ‘bividend (written by Brendan Greeley)
BTCS Nasdaq-listed company distributes capital in bitcoin — an asset with value, but no purpose.
Europe’s long-term security will rest on the reconstruction of Ukraine (written by Megan Greene)
Donors face a massive co-ordination problem in rebuilding the country and must start addressing it now.
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